Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

83.5%

24h Change

+33.0 pp

Signal Score

60/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 33.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $189,929
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

83.5%

24h Change

+33.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

158 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	87.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$189.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$189.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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