Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

29.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 10.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $219,003
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 29.5% · Aug 11, 02:00 AM

28% 35% 41% Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 11 Current 29.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

29.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 38.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$283.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$219.0K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 33
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 70
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.