Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

51.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $142,609

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 51.5% · Aug 11, 02:00 AM

51% 54% 53% Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 11 Current 51.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

51.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$86.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$142.6K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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