Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

28.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

19/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $419,533
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 28.5% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

25% 28% 29% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 28.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

28.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 28.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 26.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$90.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$419.5K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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