Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 05:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,896
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 05:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.2%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	2.7%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	2.1%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	2.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	4.7%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.2%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	5.2%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	4.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$40.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 13

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗