Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

95.8%

24h Change

-2.9 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 2.9pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $20,316
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

95.8%

24h Change

-2.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

145 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	95.8%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	97.8%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	98.4%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	98.1%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	98.7%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	98.6%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	98.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	98.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	98.6%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	98.6%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	98.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	98.2%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	98.1%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	98.0%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	98.3%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	98.6%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	98.4%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	98.4%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	98.4%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	98.8%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	98.8%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.6 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$46.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 94

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗