Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

Signal Score

24/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 2.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $38,078
High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

146 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/10/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.0%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	2.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	2.1%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.9%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	2.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$42.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$38.1K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 24/100.

Probability Momentum 8

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 52

Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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