Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

30.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $137,149

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 30.5% · Aug 5, 10:00 AM

27% 48% 68% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 30.5% · 17h of stored history · 18 pts

Current

30.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

18 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 64.0%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 60.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 63.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-33.5 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$79.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$137.1K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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