Spread: Bills (-1.5)

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

88/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability rose 49.5pp; volume is 455.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-13 22:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 49.5pp
24h volume is 455.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $163,051

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 13, 10:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.0%
9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM	61.0%
9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM	57.5%
9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM	34.0%
9/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/13/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$549.6K

Volume vs Baseline

455.7x baseline

Liquidity

$163.1K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 88/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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