Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+50.5 pp

Signal Score

91/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability rose 50.5pp; volume is 545.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 50.5pp
24h volume is 545.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $470,476

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+50.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

38 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.3%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	85.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$501.0K

Volume vs Baseline

545.6x baseline

Liquidity

$470.5K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 91/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 41

Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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