Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+60.5 pp

Signal Score

90/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 60.5pp; volume is 580.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 60.5pp
24h volume is 580.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $558,367

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+60.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	78.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM	39.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM	39.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$348.3K

Volume vs Baseline

580.6x baseline

Liquidity

$558.4K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 90/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 40

Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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