Ethereum Up or Down on August 6?

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Current Probability

91.0%

24h Change

+40.5 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (58)

24h probability rose 40.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $26,212
Medium data confidence (58)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

91.0%

24h Change

+40.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM	91.0%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	93.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	95.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	92.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	91.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM	80.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	88.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	87.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	87.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	86.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	72.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$49.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$26.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (58)

Next Steps

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