Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?

Open · Resolves in 23 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

76.0%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 11.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $36,581
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

76.0%

24h Change

+11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

119 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	76.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	78.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	78.0%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	78.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	78.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	76.0%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	75.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	76.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	74.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	72.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	69.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	69.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$89.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$36.6K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 23 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 37

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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