Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

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Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $307,758

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Aug 5, 05:00 PM

27% 40% 53% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 50.5% · 22h of stored history · 23 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

22h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 39.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 40.0%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 48.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$223.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$307.8K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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