Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

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Current Probability

49.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 1.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $239,428
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 49.5% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

49% 52% 51% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 49.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

49.5%

24h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 49.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$109.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$239.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 80
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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