National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $413,130

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	62.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+55.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$201.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$413.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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