Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erel

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

24.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 6.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $210,235
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

24.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	32.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	31.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	31.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	31.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	31.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$74.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$210.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 20

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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