Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5?

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Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

12/100

Data Confidence

Low (32)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $13,617

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.3% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

0% 3% 2% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 0.3% · 17h of stored history · 19 pts

Current

0.3%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 0.3%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.3%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.2%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.7%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 1.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$65.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$13.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

16

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 81
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (32)

Next Steps

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