Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
Signal Score
12/100
Data Confidence
Low (32)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $13,617
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.3%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
Coverage
17h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM | 0.3% |
| 8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 0.3% |
| 8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.2% |
| 8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 1.4% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Only 1d of listing history
24h Volume
$65.3K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$13.6K
Market Significance
Moderate (67)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Attention Score
16
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 81
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (32)