Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+51.5 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 51.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 04:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $152,534
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+51.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	100.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	92.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+17.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$112.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$152.5K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 60

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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