LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-64.0 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 64.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $860,587
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

0% 37% 74% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.1% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-64.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

84 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 67.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-65.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$251.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$860.6K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 99
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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