LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

44.5%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 26.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $289,189
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 44.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

42% 59% 76% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 44.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

44.5%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

84 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 44.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 70.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-28.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$119.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$289.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

45

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 88
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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