LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability fell 26.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 19:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $766,707
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

130 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	27.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	27.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$612.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$766.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 88

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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