LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 27.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 19:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $566,163
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 10, 07:00 PM

0% 19% 38% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 0.1% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

130 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 07:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 27.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-34.4 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$414.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$566.2K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 90
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 87
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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