LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

22.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability rose 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $175,727
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 22.5% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

17% 20% 23% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 22.5% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

22.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

128 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 22.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 18.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 18.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 19.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 19.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 19.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$82.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$175.7K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 88
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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