Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

51.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 7.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $63,271
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 51.5% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

51% 54% 57% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 51.5% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

51.5%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

128 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 53.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 54.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 55.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$100.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$63.3K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

25

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 23
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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