Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

56.0%

24h Change

+14.5 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability rose 14.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $45,916
High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

56.0%

24h Change

+14.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	56.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	25.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+47.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$255.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$45.9K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 48

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 58

Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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