Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

6.5%

24h Change

-54.0 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 54.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $173,404
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

6.5%

24h Change

-54.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	6.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	60.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-52.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$263.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$173.4K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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