Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

17.5%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 22.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $174,227
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 17.5% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

15% 29% 42% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 17.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

17.5%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

144 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 17.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$130.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$174.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

40

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 73
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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