Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

82.5%

24h Change

+23.0 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 23.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $242,332
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 82.5% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

57% 71% 85% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 82.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

82.5%

24h Change

+23.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

144 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+19.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$340.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$242.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

42

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 77
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 90
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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