Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

7.0%

24h Change

-49.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 49.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $181,601
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 7.0% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

2% 32% 61% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 7.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

7.0%

24h Change

-49.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 7.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 56.0%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM 56.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-46.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$210.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$181.6K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 96
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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