Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 12?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 0.8pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,402
High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.7%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.7%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.4%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$82.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 59

Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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