Will Thailand win on 2026-08-08?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+25.5 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 25.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $111,098
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 8, 04:30 PM

58% 79% 100% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 100.0% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+25.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

73 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 71.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 69.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 69.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 69.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 69.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 69.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 69.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 71.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$62.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$111.1K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

43

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 85
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.