Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 12?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $139,647

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 12, 03:00 PM

99% 102% 100% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 31 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 100.0%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$51.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$139.6K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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