Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 12?

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Current Probability

99.8%

24h Change

+4.3 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 4.3pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $30,728
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.8%

24h Change

+4.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

162 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	99.8%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.6%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	98.2%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	98.4%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	97.5%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	98.3%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	97.7%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	98.5%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM	98.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	97.9%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	96.8%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	96.9%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	97.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	97.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	97.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	96.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	96.9%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	97.0%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	97.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$223.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$30.7K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 14

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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