Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?

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Current Probability

3.4%

24h Change

-38.1 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 38.1pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $18,333
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

3.4%

24h Change

-38.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	3.4%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	47.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	37.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	26.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-27.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$91.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$18.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 83

Data Confidence High (76)

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