Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 12?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 0.1pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $79,794
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

162 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$74.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$79.8K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

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