The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

1.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 40.0pp

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 20:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $176,396
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 1.5% · Aug 7, 08:00 PM

0% 23% 46% Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 1.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

1.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

52 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 31.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 37.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 37.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-31.1 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$63.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$176.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 87
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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