Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

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Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+31.0 pp

Signal Score

67/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability rose 31.0pp

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $32,777
Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

80.5%

24h Change

+31.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	80.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	77.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	32.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	35.0%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.0%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+9.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$161.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$32.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 67/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 57

Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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