Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-08?

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Current Probability

87.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

Signal Score

49/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 14.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $62,289
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 87.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

67% 78% 89% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 87.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

87.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

75 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 87.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 85.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 73.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 76.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 76.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 75.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 80.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 80.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 74.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+15.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$143.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$62.3K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.

Probability Momentum 47
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 96
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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