Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-46.5 pp

Signal Score

99/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 46.5pp; volume is 66.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 20:51 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 46.5pp
24h volume is 66.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $278,301

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-46.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 08:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-48.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$210.1K

Volume vs Baseline

66.3x baseline

Liquidity

$278.3K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 99/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (89)

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