National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

93.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $61,234

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 93.5% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

92% 95% 94% Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 93.5% · 11h of stored history · 13 pts

Current

93.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

11h of stored history

13 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 92.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$77.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$61.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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