National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauff

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

3.1%

24h Change

-18.9 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 18.9pp

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 23:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $391,055
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.1% · Aug 7, 11:45 PM

1% 13% 24% Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 3.1% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

3.1%

24h Change

-18.9 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM 3.1%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 22.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-19.4 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$160.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$391.1K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

37

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 63
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 98
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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