National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

16.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $104,026
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 16.5% · Aug 7, 04:30 PM

14% 17% 17% Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 16.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

16.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 15.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$101.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$104.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 100
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.