LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 32.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 20:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $156,930
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 9, 08:30 PM

0% 18% 37% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 0.1% · 4d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

95 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 08:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 33.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$90.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$156.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.