National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-65.0 pp

Signal Score

75/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability fell 65.0pp

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $291,868
  • Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.5% · Aug 7, 04:30 PM

0% 36% 73% Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 0.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-65.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 66.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 65.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-65.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$649.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$291.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

50

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 75/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 100
Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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