National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-70.5 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 70.5pp

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 20:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $453,763
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-70.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 08:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	79.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	79.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	79.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	79.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	78.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	78.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	78.5%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	77.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	76.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	74.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	74.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	72.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	72.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	72.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$443.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$453.8K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 80

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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