National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

13.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 16.0pp

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 20:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $432,512
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 13.5% · Aug 7, 08:00 PM

12% 22% 31% Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 13.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

13.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

40 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 13.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 28.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 29.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$88.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$432.5K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

34

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 53
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 81
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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