National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

65.5%

24h Change

+8.0 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability rose 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $230,166
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

65.5%

24h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

38 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	64.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	64.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	62.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	57.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$126.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$230.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 27

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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