National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 27.0pp

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 20:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $438,372
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

40 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 08:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-31.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$64.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$438.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 90

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 92

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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