S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+47.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability rose 47.5pp

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 20:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $10,345
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+47.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 08:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	96.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	95.9%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	93.2%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	94.4%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	80.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	64.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	63.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	51.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	56.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	54.0%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	55.0%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$84.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$10.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 81

Persistence 44

Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

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